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Javaid, A., and T. Falk. 2015. Incorporating local institutions in irrigation experiments: evidence from rural communities in Pakistan. Ecology and Society 20(2): 28.ABSTRACT
Many irrigation systems are special cases of common-pool resources (CPRs) in which some users have preferential access to the resource, which in theory aggravates collective action challenges such as the under-provision of necessary infrastructure as a result of unequal appropriation of water resources. We present experimental evidence based on an irrigation game played in communities that are dependent on one of the largest contiguous irrigation network: the Indus basin irrigation system in Punjab, Pakistan. Furthermore, we simulate two institutional mechanisms that are neglected in experimental studies, despite their importance in many CPR governance systems: traditional authorities and legal pluralism. In our experiments, Punjabi farmers (N = 160) managed to provide the CPR at a level close to the social optimum, even without communication or enforcement opportunities. The equal investment in water infrastructure seems to be a strong social norm, even though those in disadvantageous positions (tail-users) earn less than those who have preferential access (head-users). At the same time, head-users restrain themselves from maximum resource extraction, which could be interpreted either as a norm or a stationary bandit strategy. In contrast to one of the most consistent findings of previous experimental studies, the participants in our experiment increased their earnings over the experimental rounds by using the available resources in a more efficient manner. One explanation for this behavior could be the availability of social information in our game. Starting from a high level of cooperation during baseline rounds, the treatments did not change the group investment significantly. The introduction of external sanctions created additional coordination problems, which led to a decrease in the level of group welfare. More specifically, head-users reduced their water extraction in the face of possible external sanctions to a level that the remaining water could not be used completely by tail-users.INTRODUCTION
Many irrigation systems, especially in developing countries, show characteristics of common pool resources (CPRs) and are managed as common property. Often, a group jointly maintains infrastructure such that the investment of an individual generates positive externalities for the whole group. Standard economic theory predicts that this leads to free-riding behavior and, consequently, under-investment in resource provision (Olson 2009). In addition, participants in irrigation systems have to be aware of the negative externality caused by an individual userβs water extraction, which reduces the amount available for others (Gordon 1954, Scott 1955, Hardin 1968). Irrigation systems also represent a somewhat unique problem of asymmetric (preferential) access to the resource for some users, which exacerbates the challenges associated with provision and extraction problems (Ostrom and Gardner 1993).
In theory, different institutional mechanisms can solve cooperation challenges in irrigation management. Proponents of state regulations argue that effective development and management of irrigation systems only works under a central authority (Wittfogel 1981). In contrast, proponents of market solutions argue that market coordination on the basis of well-defined property rights can provide incentives for welfare maximizing infrastructure investments and extraction (Deininger and Feder 2009). Both of these perspectives implicitly assume that communities sharing these resources do not have the incentives or capacity to cooperate and effectively manage CPRs. In contrast to this assumption, a large number of case studies in both developed and developing countries show that many communities have been relatively successful in managing CPRs with asymmetric access (Fleuret 1985, Coward and Levine 1987, Hunt 1988, Tang 1992, Bardhan 2000, Sarker and Itoh 2001, Trawick 2001).
Experimental studies, by observing human behavior in controlled settings, have directly challenged the theoretical basis of these simple solutions. For instance, a common finding in public-good games is that participants generally invest 50β70% of their endowment in the provision of a given public good (Ledyard 1994). This conflicts with rational choice theory, which predicts short-sighted selfish behavior.
Our study adds to this discussion by incorporating the asymmetric access problem, which is a special feature of irrigation systems, with the use of a standard CPR game. We wanted to learn how communities with a long history of irrigation management respond to the interconnected challenges associated with the provision and extraction of a CPR in the face of asymmetric access. For this purpose, we examined experimental evidence from an old and one of the largest irrigation systems, namely the Indus basin irrigation system in Punjab, Pakistan. Irrigation infrastructure has historical significance in this area, which is underlined by the fact that most of the modern settlement in the area resulted from the extension of irrigation systems to provide consistent year-round water supply to the settlers. To the best of our knowledge, we carried out one of the first social dilemma experiments in Pakistan, and as a result, we hope that this study will enable contextualized knowledge about the management of this crucial CPR.
We had two overarching research questions: (1) At what level do Punjabi farmers manage to provide to and extract from an irrigation-related CPR? (2) How do Punjabi farmers respond to different governance interventions experienced by the communities in the past? The history of Punjabi irrigation management is marked by repeated shifts in the governance system. Customary practices were replaced by statutory regulations, and democratic principles were externally introduced to the communities. We simulated major steps in the history of Punjabi irrigation governance in our experiments in a very simplified way and assessed how farmers react to these interventions. We were especially interested in two institutional mechanisms, which, despite their importance in many governance systems world-wide, are often neglected in experimental studies: traditional authorities and legal pluralism.
We attempted to answer our research questions using artefactual field experiments (Harrison and List 2004). Our experimental design was based on that of Janssen et al. (2011b), which incorporates the challenge of asymmetric access. We extended the game by providing social information in terms of revealing the playersβ decisions throughout the game.
Our results suggest that participants were able to generate solutions that are substantially better than the predictions of standard economic theory. Also, contrary to other experimental studies, participants in our experiment were able to increase their earnings with the passage of time. However, introducing institutions had a relatively small effect on group welfare. Institutions were more important in appropriation aspects of the CPR dilemma. External sanctions, although successful in deterring head-users from overextraction, created coordination problems, which led to inefficient outcomes for the group as a whole.
The paper is organized as follows. We first provide background information about the study site, as well as the history and development of the Indus basin irrigation system. We then discuss the experimental design. Next, we give a brief overview of the theoretical foundations of the problem and the possible outcomes. Finally, we examine the most important results and placing them into the case context.
FIELD SITE AND BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Research was carried out in Sargodha district in the Punjab region of Pakistan (Fig. 1). Agriculture remains an integral part of Pakistanβs society and economy, accounting for approximately 25% of the gross domestic product (World Bank 2005). Punjab is a mostly arid or semi-arid area and requires constant water supply for wheat, rice, and sugarcane production to be viable (World Bank 2004).
Punjab has an old and one of the most extensive irrigation systems in the world, the Indus basin irrigation system. Development of irrigation infrastructure in the area could be divided into three periods; pre-British rule, British rule, and post-independence. The Indus basin region was home to one of the earliest urban civilizations, which was renowned for its innovations in water management (Wheeler 1968, Possehl 2002). For millennia, annual floods of the Indus and its tributaries shaped the development of agriculture in the region (Gilmartin 1994). During the Mughal rule, inundation canals were constructed to open the areas that were distant from the direct action of river floods (Badruddin 1993). Construction of these inundation canals took place over a long period of time and required substantial labor for canal digging, as well as maintenance operations such as silt clearance (Gilmartin 1994). However, the water supply from these inundation canals was highly variable because inflows came mainly from seasonal snow, glacier melt, and infrequent rainfall.
Starting from 1849, British rule marked the onset of construction of massive irrigation infrastructure. Initially, British planners only sought to expand and maintain existing inundation canal networks. However, they became increasingly more ambitious, building series of perennial, all-season canals to extend the irrigation system to far-off areas (Gilmartin 1994). Major canal construction was done in phases between 1861 and the mid-1930s (Ali 1987, 1988).
After independence in 1947, the government continued implementing the strategy originally laid out by the British (see Wescoat et al. 2000 for more details). By 1962, all traditional canals were integrated into a centralized system (Badruddin 1993). As a result of these developments, Pakistan has one of the largest integrated irrigation systems in the world, covering approximately 20.8 million ha (World Bank 2005). Approximately 90% of the countryβs agricultural output is produced in these areas (World Bank 2005).
The district of Sargodha is situated in the central-western plains of the Punjab between the Jhelum and Chenab rivers. It was part of one of the original βcanal coloniesβ, the Lower Jhelum Canal Colony scheme (Cheema at al. 2009). Canal colonies were large-scale canal irrigation schemes, launched in the early 1890s to bring water to noncultivated land areas in western Punjab. The purpose of this scheme was to expand settled agriculture (Agnihotri 1996). Extension of irrigation networks was accompanied by large-scale internal migration from the farming communities of the eastern Punjab (Cheema et al. 2009).
Indus basin irrigation system management in historical context
The Indus basin irrigation system carries water from rivers to main canals (primary level) using barrages. This water flows into distributaries (secondary level) and through ungated concrete outlets (mogha) into watercourses (tertiary level). From here, it reaches the farmersβ ditches and their fields (Merrey 1986a,b).
British planners designed the system to be managed centrally with the help of locally appointed officials. At the same time, it was intended to keep the tertiary level of management in the hands of local communities as much as politically and financially feasible. This reduced the infrastructure maintenance costs for the central authority. Labor required for maintenance operations was provided by the local users of canals, a system founded on both local formal and informal rules (de Klein and Wahaj 1998). The central management also reduced transaction costs of governance by deciding primarily on the distribution of water up to the tertiary canals. For tertiary-level extraction decisions, communities used informal rotation systems (Merrey 1986c).
During British rule, this combination of local and central governance was complemented by the strong inclusion and promotion of traditional authorities (panchayats). Panchayats formed, and still form, a crucial part of rural life in Punjab. They are composed of community elders and act as primary conflict-resolution bodies. With regard to irrigation matters, they negotiate disagreements pertaining to the issues of canal maintenance and distribution of water between users. Even prior to colonial interference, panchayats played an important role in the management of irrigation systems. Nevertheless, they were given official recognition for the first time under the Punjab Village Panchayat Act of 1912 (Javid 2012). This act was reinforced in 1939, broadening the panchayatsβ sphere of influence considerably, which led to a proliferation of officially recognized panchayats (Javid 2012). As such, a typical policy of indirect rule was to implement traditional authorities who became extended arms of the central government (Mamdani 1996). The governance system effectively adopted a functioning informal institution and provided legal cover without too much official interference in its day-to-day operations.
In our study, we capture two distinct elements of traditional authority systems: (1) soft authority or leadership in which traditional authorities base their support on moral and social norms, rather than legal rules, and try to guide people in the direction of socially desirable behavior; and (2) informal sanctions, i.e., punitive action not involving monetary fines or imprisonment. For the most part, traditional authorities rely on informal sanctioning mechanisms such as social disapproval. Being taken to the panchayat is itself considered a deterrent because it induces serious damage to the reputation and social standing of the individual among the community at large. Denouncement or punishment (invariably nonmonetary informal sanctions) by the panchayat represents a serious warning for community members to mend their ways.
After Independence in 1947, many responsibilities were transferred from local communities and traditional authorities to the formalized local branches of the central bureaucracy. This was justified on the grounds of the increasing complexity of technological change and growing concerns of irrigation engineers about the efficacy of decentralized water management. Panchayats were written off from the laws, with their role effectively restricted to pre-1912 level, i.e., without any formal legal cover and based on local informal authority only. Starting in the 1970s, as a result of increasing conflicts among farmers and growing dissatisfaction with the influence of traditional local leaders, rules and regulations for provision of labor and extraction were gradually formalized (Merrey 1986c). We include this shift toward impersonalized external regulation of the irrigation system in our experiment by introducing an external punishment treatment.
In the late 1990s, the centralized management scheme gradually lost acceptance among local farmers. According to figures provided by the Irrigation Department, Government of Punjab, revenue collection from water taxes fell from 79% during the 1993β1994 season to 56% at the end of the 2000β2001 season. Irrigation infrastructure quickly deteriorated as farmers became more reluctant to provide labor for the maintenance work. In combination with escalating conflicts, this resulted in an uncoordinated and unfair distribution of water resources among farmers. There were complaints of overextraction by head-users and corruption of government officials (Bandaragoda and ur Rehman 1995). The Government of Punjab reacted by introducing a more participatory approach toward irrigation management in which the rights and duties regarding irrigation infrastructure were partially transferred to user organizations. An important element of this decentralization policy was the establishment of water-user associations, which received the responsibility to manage the irrigation system below the secondary canal level. This shift toward more participatory water governance is reflected in our experiment by a communication rule, enabling users to reach nonbinding agreements.
Development of the Indus basin irrigation system governance is, however, not a complete shift from one institutional mechanism to another. Instead, responsibility and authority moved between different organizations. Currently, irrigation system governance is rather a form of legal pluralism where state authorities, traditional authorities and democratically established community organizations coexist. Farmers can individually decide which organization to call upon. Their decision depends on which organization is perceived to be most suitable to solve a particular problem. We take this fact into account by introducing an institutional choice treatment in our experiment. Under this treatment, some experimental groups can choose between using formal impersonal punishment, traditional authorities, or communication to coordinate.
EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
We replicate the irrigation system management challenges of Punjabi farmers in a very simplified manner by designing artefactual field experiments based on Cardenas et al. (2008), largely following the experiment design of Janssen et al. (2011b). Cardenas et al. (2008) outlined the βIrrigation Gameβ, incorporating the most important elements of an irrigation system; namely the need to coordinate provision and asymmetric appropriation. These experiments were performed in two phases: without (baseline) and with institutional interventions (treatment phase).
Sargodha district comprises approximately 841 villages, of which 8 villages were chosen for experiments with the help of local agriculture extension staff. All participants were male and were directly associated with agriculture and irrigation. Most of the participants knew each other well, and sub-sections of participants in each village shared the same tertiary-level irrigation infrastructure. In each village, experiments were held at a place locally known as dera, a gathering place where community leaders and elders meet to discuss matters of general concern, including water disputes. People were invited to the experiments by Mosque loudspeaker announcements, cell phone messages, and word of mouth. Our invitation procedure was open to anyone from the community. Nevertheless, only males attended the sessions. This reflects the cultural reality in Punjab, where men dominate irrigation management. We summarized socioeconomic attributes of the sample population (Appendix 1) and sample (Table 1).
In each village, participants were randomly divided into four different groups consisting of five members each. Each group was randomly assigned to one of four treatments: communication (C), traditional authority (TA), punishment (P), or institutional choice (IC). Additionally, for the TA and IC treatment groups, an elder was present to act as the traditional authority. These elders, however, did not take provision or extraction decisions during the game. Each group received one of the four treatments. In total, 160 farmers played the game in 32 groups, and each treatment was applied to eight different groups. Sixteen elders were involved in the TA and IC treatments.
For each group, the baseline version was conducted first, and the treatments were introduced afterward. Participants were not aware of the treatment assigned to their group in the baseline phase. The baseline phase of the experiment always took seven rounds. The duration of the treatment phase varied randomly from eight to eleven rounds. Players were not aware of the number of rounds in each phase. We introduced this variation to avoid an end round effect and make backward induction more difficult. Because none of the players knew how long the game was going to last, this should not affect the theoretical predictions.
Within a group, each player was randomly assigned to a unique location (1 to 5). This position determined the sequencing of extraction decisions and remained fixed throughout the experiment. Players were aware of their position in the overall system.
At the start of each round, participants were provided with the same initial endowment of 10 tokens. During the baseline phase of the experiment, two decisions were repeated in every round. All participants first decided privately and simultaneously on the number of tokens each one wanted to invest in maintaining the irrigation infrastructure. Noncontributed tokens were kept in a private account.
The collective investment for a group was a simple additive function of all group membersβ individual investment, where each membersβ contribution carried the same weight. This feature of the experiment reflects the abiana (water tax) and labor contribution in the Pakistan irrigation management case.
After all of the group members decided on their abiana contribution, the total amount of common good produced was communicated to the group. The relationship between collective investment and the systemβs water flow capacity is determined by a sigmoidal production function similar to the one used by Janssen et al. (2011b; Fig. 2).
The advantage of using this function is that it captures the essential aspects of the Punjab irrigation systems. First, for low levels of overall contribution, very little water flow capacity is produced. Also, no single player is able to provide enough investment to maintain the infrastructure on his own, which is especially true of such large-scale irrigation systems. Moderate total contributions raise the produced amount of water flow capacity significantly. At higher levels of overall investment, the marginal productivity of additional investment units declines.
In the second decision of each experimental round, players decide about the amount of water extraction in the sequence of their assigned location. The extraction decision of the first mover imposes a negative externality on all other players because the amount of CPR available for subsequent players depends on this decision. The relationship between the amount of water extracted and tokens earned is also represented by an S-shaped function (Fig. 3) taken from Janssen et al. (2011b). Each player is informed how much water is left for him and how much water was extracted by players before him.
Total earnings for an individual in a round were determined by the amount of water used by this particular individual, plus the amount of initial endowment not invested. At the end of each round, total earnings and extractions of each player were announced publicly. This is a critical departure from the design of Janssen et al. (2011b) and affects the comparability with other studies based on this game as published, for instance in Janssen et al. (2012).
During the treatment rounds, players made three decisions. After making the provision and appropriation decisions as described for the baseline rounds, they could decide whether to initiate an institutional intervention against any particular player(s). Invoking a treatment is an individual decision and does not have to be agreed upon by the group.
We applied four types of treatments, each in different groups. The first treatment was face-to-face communication (C) in which players could directly talk to each other. Players could buy 2 min of time for cheap talk with fellow group members.
The second treatment was conflict resolution by traditional authorities (TA). During the treatment phase, elder(s) representing traditional authorities observed all the actions of the respective treatment group. Players could call upon the traditional leader to intervene. The traditional leader would conduct discussions with the relevant parties in the presence of all other players. Traditional leaders were provided with the same information as the actual players. All the actions and requests of the traditional leaders were nonbinding for the players.
The third treatment was external sanctioning or punishment (P). In this treatment, players could point out a fellow player to be charged with a fixed fine of 4 tokens. If the punishment treatment is applied, there is a two-thirds probability that the inflicted player pays a fine of 4 tokens and a one-third probability that he pays nothing. This reflects the real-life transaction costs of monitoring and enforcement. Both the probability of receiving punishment, as well as the severity of punishment, are independent of the actions of the targeted player. The punishment treatment is not based on a rule with the explicit description of an expected behavior. It is rather based on norms of implicitly expected behavior.
In the case of the fourth treatment, institutional choice (IC), we imitated legal pluralism in a simple way. Players received explanations of the three aforementioned mechanisms: C, TA, and P. In any round, they could individually choose whether to use any one of the three interventions. There was no need to make a collective choice in the group. This treatment was the most complex. We expected good understanding because the participants could connect all treatments to their real-life experiences. Furthermore, we only started the game after players managed to answer quiz questions correctly.
All treatments are costly for the individual invoking the treatment and do not provide any direct monetary benefit to the executing player. For C, a player could talk to any number of players in his group during the allocated 2 min at the cost of 1 token. For TA and P, the cost of invoking the treatment against a single player was 1 token. This cost could be shared with other players if they also initiated the treatment against the same player in the same round. Each player could initiate these treatments against any number of players in a given round.
Participants were given USD $0.65 as an attendance fee, with the possibility of earning more by participating in the experiment. Earnings in terms of tokens kept in the private account as well as tokens earned from CPR extraction were exchanged at the same rate into real money (USD $0.08 per token). Experiments were designed to generate expected earnings equivalent to one dayβs salary of an unskilled worker. Participants were paid at the end of the game in a discrete manner. After the experiments, all participants were also invited to a lunch. In all cases, efforts were made to call local leaders and elders for the role of the traditional authority. However, in one case, this was impossible, and the eldest person was chosen to act as the leader. For a detailed description of the experimental procedure see Appendix 2.
HYPOTHESIS AND THEORETICAL PREDICTIONS
The scenario depicted in our experiment calls for the Nash equilibrium strategy of individual players to act in a selfish manner and in consideration of the short-run, i.e., not to invest anything in the CPR (keep the full endowment in their private account) and extract the maximum possible amount, resulting in a situation where no one invests in the common good and no resource is produced. In contrast, the maximum level of group earnings that could be achieved in our experiment design (104 tokens) requires that players collectively invest either 37 or 38 tokens, resulting in 180 or 185 units of water flow capacity, respectively. Producing an optimal amount of CPR does not mean that socially optimal equilibrium is achieved because this also requires efficient appropriation of water. So, for example, to attain maximum extraction earnings of 91 tokens at the collective investment level of 37 tokens, four players can extract 35 units of water (18 tokens for each player) while only one player can extract 40 units (19 tokens).
With respect to asymmetric access, we are aware of the following two relevant theoretical frameworks: those of Ostrom and Gardner (1993), and Singleton and Taylor (1992) and Olson (1993). The Ostrom and Gardner (1993) model is based on the concept of marginal utility of investment. It predicts that (1) due to the presence of asymmetric access, head-users extract more compared to tail-users; and (2) because of this difference in extraction, head-users will be expected to bear a greater share of investments in the provision and maintenance of the irrigation infrastructure.
Singleton and Taylorβs (1992) concept of cooperation through βmutual vulnerabilityβ and Olsonβs (1993) stationary bandit hypothesis as applied in Janssen et al. (2011a) follow the logic that communities can endogenously achieve cooperation due to the presence of mutually vulnerable actors. Singleton and Taylor (1992:315) define mutual vulnerability as βthe condition of a group of actors each of whom values something which can be contributed or withheld by others in the group and can therefore be used as a sanction against that actor.β In the case of Punjab water distribution, any farmer can contribute or withhold his participation in the cooperative infrastructure maintenance. Because no user can build or maintain irrigation infrastructure on his own, the withholding of cooperation is a credible threat and can be used as a sanction. Consequently, we would expect that (1) head-users have incentives to maintain cooperation within the group and not to extract exceedingly high amounts of water, and (2) tail-users maintain their investment levels in CPR provision as long as they receive their perceived fair share.
We adapted the experimental design of Janssen et al. (2011b) and provided direct individual feedback on extraction levels to increase the external validity of our experiments. Irrigation farming communities in Pakistan are marked by a low degree of privacy. In particular, water management activities are difficult to keep secret from fellow farmers. In addition, our treatments required individual social information in terms of revealing the playersβ water extraction. We revealed the extraction amount in the baseline rounds as well to avoid mixing the effect of institutional treatments with the social information effect. As such, it was not our objective to assess the effect of social information on the behavior of participants. However, we expect different behavior than in similar games played without providing this information.
The transparency of individual extraction rates has two implications. Eacg player could learn about what other players did, and everyone would know how much water each player extracted.
People comply with social norms because they wish their actions to be approved. Social approval or disapproval does not have to be expressed explicitly. Often an actorβs anticipation of approval or disapproval already constitutes significant benefits or costs for that actor. Playing a simple public good experiment, Rege and Telle (2004) found evidence that people increase their cooperation levels when their decisions are made public. Soetevent (2005) observed that under specific conditions, church donations increase when neighbors can see how much a person is donating. Panagopoulos (2010) carried out an experiment in which the names of either voters (pride treatment) or nonvoters (shame treatment) in public elections were published in local newspapers and found evidence that shame increased election turn-outs, whereas pride was effective only for sub-groups of society.
For this mechanism to work, however, it is necessary that the actor beholds a social norm as a belief on how others expect him to act. Such beliefs can be present as the result of lifelong teaching, socialization, imitation, or conditioning processes (Smith [1789] 2004, Coleman 1987, North 1990, Ostrom 2009). Social norms can also be influenced by observing the instantaneous behavior of others.
Croson and Shang (2008) assessed to what extent knowledge about other peopleβs donor behavior influences an individualβs donations. They found that people increase their contributions when they are told that another person gave more than their previous contribution, and decreased it when they were told another person gave less. The downward effect was significantly stronger than the upward effect. Learning about other peopleβs behavior influences beliefs about social norms, which thereby influence oneβs own behavior (Croson and Shang 2008).
Mittone and Ploner (2011) distinguished the effects of being observed and knowing other playersβ behavior using a simple investment game. The players showed significantly higher degrees of reciprocity when being observed. The social spillover effect from learning about other peopleβs choices was much weaker, although still significant.
Enforcement based on anticipated approval has high policy relevance. It has the great advantage of not causing considerable social costs (Rege and Telle 2004, Falk et al. 2012).
In summary, the transparency of individual extraction rates very likely makes people adjust their extractions to what they believe is approved by fellow players. Not extracting more than what is anticipated to be the fair rate is motivated by avoiding shame. Some players may strive for pride by extracting even less than what they believe is their fair share. In addition, we would expect that the observed extraction rates create expectations or social norms about the individual fair share. As such, the extractions within a group should become more equal over the rounds. An increase in extraction levels would be consistent with Croson and Shangβs (2008) results and would confirm that the downward effect of social information is stronger than the upward effect.
All treatments are costly and do not yield any direct monetary benefit for the initiator. Therefore, theoretically, we should not expect any effect of these institutions (second-order public goods). Nevertheless, from experimental evidence, we know that, (1) participants provide this second-order public good even though doing so is costly (Ostrom 1990, Ostrom et al. 1992, Fehr and GΓ€chter 2000), and (2) the level of cooperation is often maintained or even enhanced by the presence of opportunities to communicate (Ostrom et al. 1992, Sally 1995, Bicchieri 2002, Balliet 2010) or to sanction other players (Fehr and GΓ€chter 2000, GΓΌrerk et al. 2006, Nikiforakis and Normann 2008).
The willingness to apply costly sanctions can be explained by the concept of positive or negative intrinsic values such as joy or regret (Ostrom 2009). Sanctioning does not need to produce material revenues if it is based on the intrinsic belief in the rightness of an action (Smith 1759). Fehr and GΓ€chter (2000) and Falk et al. (2005) also argue that the decision of participants to sanction each other is based on their motivation to harm those who are perceived as behaving unfairly.
Our P rule was not linked to the investment or extraction level, but a fixed amount of 4 tokens. It might be rational under this treatment not to invest and to maximize extraction. It is difficult to assess when it is rational to give up extra extraction as a result of threat of punishment because the probability of treatment is linked to the perceptions of other players and not to any objective criterion. Nevertheless, consider a situation in which a player can extract the maximum possible amount of water. If he extracts the maximum amount, he would receive 20 tokens compared to 18 tokens for the social optimal extraction. Under the P treatment, the player risks losing 4 tokens with two-thirds probability if punishment is initiated against him. Theoretically, a rational player would therefore extract the maximum amount of water if his expected probability to be punished is lower than three-quarters. This is a realistic assumption taking into account that sanctions are costly and do not yield any direct monetary benefits for other players.
The TA treatment combines the attributes of (informal) sanctions as well as communication. Both the C and TA treatments give participants an opportunity to coordinate directly. Furthermore, they inhibit the possibility of using social enforcement mechanisms (see also Falk et al. 2012). Balliet (2010) emphasizes three explanations why communication supports cooperation: receiving signals about otherβs willingness to cooperate, group identity, and the development of shared norms. The C treatment only allows for application of horizontal social consequences, whereas under the TA rule, a vertical social sanctioning mechanism is added. Through a process of discussion guided by influential elders, TA induces focus on pro-social norms without compromising the opportunity to punish undesired behavior.
RESULTS
Baseline individual and group-level results
Average investments in the baseline phase were 7.30 tokens (SE = 2.37), which is approximately 70% of the individual endowments. The average investment level remained stable throughout this phase (P = 0.58 for two-tailed t-test between 1st and 7th rounds). Only 1.7% of observations conformed to the Nash strategy of zero contribution, whereas the maximum possible investment was the most frequently chosen strategy in approximately 25% of the observations. The average group investment was approximately 36.28 tokens (SE = 6.99) and remained stable throughout the baseline rounds (P = 0.69 for two-tailed t-test between 1st and 7th rounds). The average investment was very close to the social optimal CPR provision level, which is 37 tokens. In none of the rounds did group investment fall to zero.
The average individual extraction level during the baseline phase was 30.21 water units (SE = 15.55). It was stable over the rounds (P = 0.72 for two-tailed t-test between 1st and 7th rounds). Players extracted the maximum amount of water in only 14% of cases. Individual-level average earnings for the baseline rounds was 15.40 tokens (SE = 7.40). Players earned nothing in only 1.79% of observations, whereas player earnings were > 10 tokens in approximately 70% of the observations (Nash equilibrium). Average group earnings for the baseline rounds was 77.01 tokens (SE = 22), which is 74% of the social optimum and 154% of the Nash equilibrium (Fig. 4).
All group members, independent of their position, showed very similar overall average investment levels (Fig. 5). Players in all positions invested, on average, approximately 7 tokens.
Contrary to investment levels, the average extraction levels depended on access to the resource. Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-ranks tests showed that only the comparisons between players 1 and 2 as well as between players 3 and 4 showed no significant differences (Appendix 3, Table A3.2). For all other pairs, the preferentially positioned player appropriated significantly more. Tail-users accounted for approximately 60% of zero extraction cases, whereas head-users accounted for nearly 60% of the maximum extraction cases.
We further observe that the CPR appropriation was more unequal for lower levels of CPR and became increasingly equitable as the amount of CPR produced increased (Appendix 3, Fig. A.3.1). This provided incentives, especially for tail-users, to over-invest in the provision of CPR (greater than the socially optimum level).
Introduction of institutions
For the effect of the introduction of treatments on playersβ investments and earning levels, all reported earnings are gross earnings, which means that they do not include costs of treatment or fines that a player had to pay. Treatments could affect the behavior of participants in two possible ways. First, introducing treatments adds another phase to the game, which means that participants adjust their behavior with regard to this change. It is not important whether the participants actually used the treatment or not; rather, the mere presence of a treatment is enough to cause behavioral change. We call this the overall effect of treatment. Second, treatments could also affect behavior if a player initiated a treatment against one of their group members or if a treatment was initiated against them. We call this the direct effect of treatment.
We observe that most of the treatments were initiated by the tail-users against the head-users. This is especially true in the case of P, for which almost 75% of the treatments were initiated by the players occupying the last two positions (positions 4 and 5). In the case of C, only 40% of the treatments were initiated by players occupying these positions. Most of the treatments were initiated at the start of the treatment phase. External punishment (P) was used relatively more consistently over the rounds. We also observe that the chance of a treatment being initiated against a player increased with his extraction level. Nevertheless, in > 40% of cases when a treatment was initiated, it was given against a player who extracted less than the group average (Fig. 6). We calculated tobit models (Appendix 4, Table A4.5) to understand the treatment decision of participants. These models reinforce our findings from descriptive analysis and do not suggest any significant and robust effect of socioeconomic indicators on treatment decision.
Tail-users had a higher probability to be given a treatment if they extracted less than the group average (comparison of means for position number by extraction below mean: P = 0.0025). This result should be seen in the light that any water reaching the 5th player but not used by him did not provide benefits to anybody in the group and was considered wasted. Head-enders who restrained their water extraction felt sufficiently annoyed to punish water-wasting tail-users.
Although the figures for average investment and earning levels during the treatment rounds suggest higher provision and appropriation levels for the C and TA groups, Mann-Whitney tests provided no evidence for significant differences between the treatments (Fig. 7; Appendix 3, Table A3.3).
Taking into account the complexity of the experiment, we used multivariate, hierarchical, mixed-effects regression models (STATA 12) to analyze the playersβ decisions. This allowed us to control for variables on different scales. As such, we considered individual-context layer and group-context layer information. For individual-context layer information, we included three sets of variables: (1) socioeconomic indicators such as age, education level, and being a member of dominant kinship group; (2) farming related variables such as landholdings and access to private tube wells, which indicate the scale and sophistication of farming activities; and (3) individual attitudes and perceptions such as the level of trust and whether or not the player feels part of the community. Each set of variables could potentially affect the way participants interpret and respond to the dilemma presented in the experimental settings. The full models included these variables (Appendix 4); however, our results are similar even if we completely ignore the socioeconomic variables or include a different set of variables.
In regression models, the overall effect of treatments is captured by interaction terms between treatment groups and treatment phase (C Γ treatment phase, TA Γ treatment phase, P Γ treatment phase, and IC Γ treatment phase); the interactions indicate the overall effect of the introduction of institutional treatments by comparing them to baseline rounds. In the baseline phase, these interaction terms are zero for all groups. In the treatment phase, these interaction terms are one for the specific treatment applied to a specific group, and zero for the treatments not applied to the specific group.
Treatments were initiated after the provision and appropriation decisions, so they could only directly affect the behavior in subsequent rounds. For a direct treatment effect, we examined the effect of both initiating and suffering from treatments in the previous round (t β 1). In the regression models, this is captured by six dummy variables (Initiated C treatment (t β 1), Received C treatment (t β 1), and so on). These variables indicate whether a participant received or inflicted any treatment. For example, Initiated C treatment (t β 1) is 0 if the participant did not inflict the C treatment on any other player, whereas it is 1 if the participant had used the C treatment against his group member(s) in the last round. Similarly, Received C treatment (t β 1) is 1 if the participant had received the C treatment by one or more of his group members. In this way, we can see whether receiving or giving any particular treatment had an effect on behavior in the subsequent round.
We calculated separate models to analyze different aspect of treatments. In the first model, we only looked at the overall effect of treatments, whereas in the second model, we looked at the both the overall and the direct effect of treatments. There were no significant differences in the investment level between different treatments (Table 2). The results also confirm the notion that the position occupied by the players had a large effect on player earnings. Downstream players earned comparatively less than their upstream counterparts. One important result, which is somewhat contradictory to widespread experimental findings, is that the earnings increased over time as indicated by the relatively high positive coefficient of the variable βround numberβ.
The introduction of institutions did not have a substantial effect on individual earnings. The only robust and significant finding is that the introduction of the P treatment (indicated by P Γ treatment phase) led to a substantial decrease in player earnings. Interestingly, the direct treatment variable suggests that players in the P groups who initiated punishments maintained their baseline earning levels in that particular round. The sum of the coefficients for P Γ treatment phase and Initiated P treatment (t β 1) is almost zero. Introducing a punishment treatment therefore results in an environment in which using punishment results in greater earnings in the subsequent round for the player initiating the treatment, but over the course of treatment rounds, average earnings are less than baseline earnings.
Our results further indicate that participants increased their investment if they received the C treatment in the previous round. To understand the distribution of resources within a group, we focused on the effect of player position on their investment and extraction decisions by comparing the investment level by treatment and player position between the baseline and treatment phases of the experiment (Fig. 8). We also calculated separate mixed-effects models for players in different positions. This allowed us to perform deeper analysis by studying the effects of treatments on each specific player position. The regression model (Appendix 4, Table A4.2) confirms the first impression of the graphical analysis; none of the sub-groups showed any significant change in the amount invested in the CPR from the baseline to the treatment phase of the experiment. We do not find any evidence for direct treatment effects on the investments of communication for any player position.
To take a closer look at the distribution of available resources and how this changes with the introduction of treatments, we compared tokens earned from extraction by player position (Fig. 9). We calculated separate mixed-effects models for players in different positions to test for the statistical significance of these developments. We included the group investment level to control for the amount of resource produced, which allowed us to look at the distributive aspect more closely (Table 3). The results indicate that tokens earned from extraction by tail-users increased over time. The variable βround numberβ is positive and statistically significant for players 3, 4, and 5 only. This suggests that groups progressively learned how to improve the share of water extracted by tail-users and distribute their resources more equitably. This is also confirmed by looking at the development of the gini-coefficient of group earnings, where there is a general decline in values (Appendix 5). For all treatments, the tokens earned from extraction by the most disadvantaged players (players 4 and 5) did not show any significant increase. In contrast, the introduction of C and P significantly decreased the extraction by head-users. Nevertheless, this did not translate into an increase in earnings for tail-users. Furthermore, we found that initiating the P treatment is only directly effective for head-users.
Group-level analysis
For group-level analyses, we looked at the overall welfare effects on the group level through the development of the groupsβ total investments and earnings (Table 4). With respect to game-level variables, we found that higher levels of inequality (in both investment and extraction) in the previous round led to significantly lower investment. The variables Gini-coeffecient investment in t β 1 and Gini-coefficient earnings in t β 1 were both negative in the investment models. There were similar results from individual playersβ investment decisions (Appendix 4, Table A.4.2), which seem to suggest that inequality in earnings is especially important for tail-users, and that greater inequality leads to decreased investment by them. This indicates the importance of equitable distribution of resources within the group and is in line with the mutual vulnerability cooperation framework. In this regard, our results are broadly consistent with previous studies, especially that of Janssen et al. (2012), which looked at the issue of inequality and CPR provision in more detail.
The models also confirm that groups were able to increase the tokens earned over experimental rounds (Table 4). This resulted from increased extraction by tail-users, which led to more efficient distribution of resources (Table 3). This is also indicated by the decrease in gini-coefficients over time (Appendix 5).
The model explaining group earnings also indicates that the only significant effect of institutions on group earnings occurs for P groups. Group welfare decreased substantially when participants were given the opportunity to punish other players in their group. As discussed earlier, the introduction of P effectively reduced resource extraction by head-users (Table 3). Nevertheless, this did not result in an increase in earnings for tail-users. We observed a decrease in earning inequality for P groups, but this was accompanied by a decrease in group welfare. This is surprising because a redistribution of resources from head- to tail-users should have increased the marginal utility per unit extracted. The explanation for this anomaly, at least for the P groups, lies in the amount of water wasted by the groups. The introduction of P caused a four-fold increase in the amount of water not used by the groups (Appendix 6).
Four of eight groups under the P treatment experienced wasting of water in the treatment phase. In contrast, only one group with the C and IC treatments each and two groups with the TA treatment did not fully use the available water. In addition, groups that used the P treatment more frequently were the ones with the highest amounts of water wasted. Three of the four P groups that did not fully use the available water ranked in the top three in terms of the number of players who were targeted by the P treatment during the treatment phase. Interestingly, in IC groups where the P treatment was used quite often, we did not see any effect on the wastage of resources. This may be because in IC groups, P was often accompanied by the use of TA and C.
DISCUSSION
Group investment
Similar to most public good and CPR experiments, participants in our experiments both invested and earned amounts greater than the levels predicted by the Nash equilibrium, but below the social optimum (Ledyard 1994, Zelmer 2003, Chaudhuri 2011). Even without communication or institutional incentives options, the average group investment was 98% of the social optimal investment benchmark. Average group earnings during the baseline rounds were 74% of the social optimum.
The overall level of investment in our experiment is partially comparable to that of Janssen et al. (2011b) who found that average investment levels are very high for irrigation games. Other studies using a similar experimental design, however, found much lower investment levels (Cardenas et al. 2010, Janssen et al. 2012, Otto and Wechsung 2014). Furthermore, head-users in Janssen et al. (2011b) invested at much higher levels than tail-users. This is in contrast to our results, where the player position did not affect investments.
In many public good experiments, participants managed to exhibit similar levels of contributions in one-shot games or in the starting round of repeated games (Ledyard 1994). Nevertheless, one of the most consistent findings in experimental literature is that in the absence of the ability to communicate or sanction, the level of investment falls to only 30β40% of playersβ endowment (Ostrom et al. 1992, Ledyard 1994, Fehr and GΓ€chter 2000, Balliet 2010). Chaudhuri (2011) list different factors that have been put forward to explain this decline such as confusion or decision errors (Andreoni 1995, Palfrey and Prisbrey 1997, Anderson and Putterman 2006) and a combination of learning to play the dominant strategy and strategic play by self- interested players (Andreoni 1988, Andreoni and Croson 2008). In contrast to these studies, participants in our experiment maintained a very high level of investment throughout the experiment rounds and exhibited increasingly cooperative behavior over the rounds.
Our observed high level of investment and increasingly cooperative behavior were likely a result of the availability of social information on individual extraction levels. One of our motivations to adapt the design of Janssen et al. (2011b) was to increase the external validity. There is a low degree of privacy in the researched communities. According to Carpenter and Seki (2011) and Henrich et al. (2010), participant behavior in experimental settings is based on their real-life experiences. Most of the participants in our experiments deal with each other on almost a daily basis, and they can easily observe each othersβ actions. Furthermore, provision of labor and resources for the management of irrigation infrastructure is a typical challenge for them. It is likely that the studied community has developed strong norms based on interactions over a long period of time, which help them to overcome these social dilemmas. Our players might have used this contextual information during the experiment.
Revealing the individual extraction levels of all group members at the end of each round is a critical departure from Janssen et al.βs (2011b) design. Our design does not allow us to make clear statements about the effect of anticipated approval or disapproval on the playersβ decisions. Nevertheless, it is likely that this adaptation is responsible for a large share of the high levels of efficiency encountered in our game, which do not match the data reported from other field experiments using this game (see Janssen et al. 2012).
The fact that our players improve their individual and group earnings over the game rounds can potentially be explained by the establishment of a social norm supported by the social information. These norms could drive the groups increasingly closer to the social optimum. As expected, the gini-coefficient of extractions became lower over the rounds, which indicates that the groupβs individuals learned to adjust their extractions to each other (Appendix 5). This increase in social efficiency over the rounds is in contradiction to Croson and Shangβs (2008) findings. If the downward effect was stronger than the upward one, extraction levels should have been increasing, leading to worse social outcomes.
Individual-level investments and earnings: distributional aspects
With respect to distributional aspects, players in advantageous positions with preferential access to the CPR had significantly higher earnings as a result of higher levels of appropriation. This is consistent with findings of other studies on asymmetric access (Budescu et al. 1997, Cardenas et al. 2008, Janssen et al. 2011b). It could be expected that the individuals who lose out punish the winners by withdrawing their contributions. However, this is not the case; rather, we found a learning effect whereby groups are able to increase their tail-usersβ earnings over time, which results in more efficient use of resources and increased group earnings. Also, unlike Janssen et al. (2011b) and other studies, the average earnings for even the most disadvantaged players were greater than the level predicted by Nash equilibrium analysis. This suggests that even the most disadvantaged users have some incentive to maintain their investments for the provision of CPR.
Ostrom and Gardner (1993) suggest that in stable groups, head-users are expected to invest significantly more than their tail-end counterparts. In contrast to this theoretical prediction, Punjabi farmers invested on average similar amounts regardless of their position in the irrigation system. They seemed to exhibit more tolerance toward inequalities in earnings. One potential explanation, unrelated specifically to irrigation, could be that Pakistan is considered a hierarchical society (Hofstede 2001), which means that people accept a hierarchical order in which everyone has a place without any need for further justification. An alternative explanation could be that local farmersβ norms regulating extraction decisions are weaker compared to norms guiding their decisions on the provision of public or common goods. During discussions after the experiment, we found that different participants had different views of what constitutes a βfair shareβ. This situation could be related to contradictory incentives introduced by various governance interventions in the history of the Punjab irrigation management.
We found strong evidence in support of Singleton and Taylorβs (1992) concept of cooperation based on mutual vulnerabilities. First, we observed that many tail-users encouraged others to invest in the irrigation infrastructure because they most strongly rely on well-maintained and extensive irrigation systems. One real-life explanation for tail-usersβ strong motivation to keep the infrastructure in good condition is that water allocation is calculated on a constant amount per area basis, regardless of the location along the canal. Because transmission losses along the canal are not considered, greater transmission losses effectively mean less water for tail-users (Latif and Sarwar 1994). Also, in our experiments, tail-users earned on average more than they would in a fully noncooperative setting, as predicted by the Nash equilibrium. Furthermore, tail-usersβ share of extraction increased with the amount of CPR produced (Appendix 3, Fig. A3.1). Therefore, tail-users had the incentive to maintain their investment for the provision of CPR, even if their earnings were lower than those of head-users. However, at the same time, we found that greater inequality in both investments and earnings in the previous round had a negative effect on group investments (Table 3).
Second, only in very few cases were head-users seen to be free-riding or maximizing their gains. In most cases, they showed some restraint in their extraction decisions and did not extract the maximum possible water quantity. Head-users seemed to be taking the needs of the later users into account. They understood the importance of sharing the CPR with tail-users. The implicit threat of withdrawing or reducing cooperation might play some role in restraining head-usersβ extraction. Alternatively, head-usersβ consideration could also be interpreted as a sign of social norms coming into play. Taking these two results together, it could be argued that the mutual dependence of different players on each other is a strong motivation for maintaining cooperative behavior.
Role of institutions
Introducing institutional interventions had no significant effect on the overall level of investment and hardly any effect on earnings. In particular, there was no significant effect of the TA and IC treatments. Nevertheless, we think it is important to study both of these institutional arrangements in CPR field experiment settings. Our treatment design may inspire such future studies.
It could be argued that the treatments actually affected the investment behavior by avoiding a decline in contributions, as observed in many other experimental studies. Unfortunately, we did not let a fifth group play the treatment round without any treatment. We are therefore unable to analyze this possible effect.
Both the C and TA treatments can affect the incentive structure of the game by focusing on the other-regarding preferences of the participants. These treatments allowed expression of approval or disapproval. Nevertheless, the anticipated approval or disapproval experienced through the knowledge that all other group members learn about each othersβ extractions might have been a strong enough incentive that could not be increased by actual expressed (dis-)approval. In addition, the communication in both treatments could theoretically signal willingness to cooperate, create group identity, and help develop shared norms (Balliet 2010). The very high provision level during the baseline rounds, however, indicated that the groups were willing to cooperate even before communicating. It is difficult to improve upon this outcome. The experiment simulates a situation that is very similar to the participantsβ real-life experiences, and it is likely that participants have a well-established group identity. If that is this case, why did they use the treatments at all? It is possible that they believed they could still improve their outcomes, although this did not occur.
The P treatment more directly changed the incentive structure of the game and in fact showed one of the predicted effects. The treatments were mostly used to address the appropriation aspects of the irrigation dilemma. This is not surprising because only the individual appropriation decisions were revealed after every round. Theoretically, a rational player would expect to be punished with a low probability only. Nevertheless, the costs of withdrawing cooperation as an alternative sanction are perceived to be higher than the transaction costs associated with punishments. Therefore, we suspect that strongly motivated participants used the P treatment as a low-cost retaliatory option instead of withdrawing from the game. Our results show that the external punishment mechanism is effective in reducing extraction levels of head-users. Nevertheless, this does not translate into a beneficial effect for tail-user earnings or overall group welfare.
The fact that the P treatment reduces group welfare suggests the possibility of crowding out, which is often observed in P treatments in public goods and CPR games (Cardenas et al. 2000, Vollan 2008). Nevertheless, in our case, punishment did not erode the strong intrinsic norms of public good provision or the restraint from maximum resource extraction. On the contrary, head-users reduced their resource extraction. Nevertheless, they left more water to the tail-users than would be productive, taking into account the decreasing marginal productivity of very high water extractions. Repeatedly, more water than the maximum extractable amount (50 units) was left for the tail-users. In addition, the tail-users did not increase their resource extraction. It is interesting to note that tail-users were more likely to be targeted by treatments if they extracted below the group average. The net effect was an increase in the amount of resource wasted, resulting in sub-optimal resource use and a decrease in overall group welfare.
Compared to the other treatments, P offered the least opportunity to convey concerns accurately and directly among players. Rather, the indirect signaling in the form of fines possibly resulted in even greater difficulty in coordinating actions. Signaling norms likely could be achieved sufficiently by the social information regarding playersβ water extraction levels. We observed a weak pattern that suggested that a higher frequency of using the P treatment increased the struggle to coordinate. Interestingly, there was no such increased inefficiency in the IC groups, which could use communication in addition to punishment. An alternative or additional explanation could be that the P treatment induced an internalized norm to the players that higher scale externalities should be taken into account, thereby changing their strategy from maximizing group welfare to simply trying to save water. Further research is needed to interpret our results reliably.
CONCLUSION
We studied a community for which the irrigation system has unique historical and material value. The very existence and sustainability of extensive agriculture was and is dependent on this irrigation system. We found that the participants in our experiment were able to provide the CPR at a reasonable and stable level, even in the presence of the asymmetric access challenge. We found evidence in favor of the proposition that mutual dependence on each other helped maintain a symbiotic relationship among participants. The distribution of resources proved to be a bigger challenge than resource provision for participants. Nevertheless, with regard to both challenges, the participants showed positive learning effects by decreasing inequality in the distribution of resources and increasing group welfare over time.
Our results are applicable mostly for tertiary-level management, where communities have regular interactions that allow social norms to develop. Furthermore, free-and-easy access to information about various aspects of the irrigation system allowed users to observe the effects of their and other usersβ actions. However, in large irrigation systems such as the Indus basin irrigation system in Pakistan, tertiary-level management is only one of the challenges. Secondary- and primary-level irrigation management involves different communities who may not have the required social capital. Similarly, the availability and reliability of information is also a problem at these levels. Further research should examine the coordination and cooperation among stakeholders involved in secondary- and primary-level management and whether they differ substantially from local communities managing tertiary-level infrastructure.
One implication of Singleton and Taylorβs (1992) concept of cooperation based on mutual vulnerabilities is that policy makers have to be especially mindful of technological and social interventions that decrease this mutual interdependence. This interdependence can potentially be reduced by the widespread development of public as well as private tube wells, which decreases the dependence on canal irrigation, although at a higher cost than canal water. Kajisa et al. (2007) report, for instance, that the drilling of private wells reduced collective action in Indian farmer communities and lead to higher inequality. Although our study did not show less cooperative behavior among players who had access to private tube wells, the question as to whether or not development of wells can lead to collective action failure remains a salient research question that should be considered in future. The fact that institutional interventions had no significant effect on group cooperation raises the question whether any institutional change can improve social outcomes. Given this result, how can we explain actual institutional change? Is there a risk that resources invested in more participatory water management are wasted? Even though we tried to mimic historical and present institutions, the experiment obviously does not fully reflect reality. Reports of the Irrigation Department and Government of Punjab indicate that the large-scale top-down water provision scheme is facing serious challenges. Our experiments with small water user groups in Punjab indicate that social information in terms of transparency of individual water extraction levels in combination with social norms is sufficient to maintain reasonably high cooperation.
It should be highlighted that revealing the extraction levels of all players may have substantially changed the structure of the game. Anticipated benefits of pride or costs of shame may result in a more cooperative dominant strategy. If this is the case, additional institutional incentives are unlikely to affect behavior. In planning our study, we underestimated the effect of social information. In future research, we recommend introducing social information as a treatment to differentiate the effects of social information and institutional treatments.
Our main argument for revealing the extraction behavior throughout the game was the fact that farmers in real life can indeed observe othersβ water extractions. This leads to important policy implications. If availability of social information in these communities creates such strong incentives to cooperate that external institutional incentives are ineffective, then external institutional interventions should only be applied with great care. Taking into account that major historical and current institutional changes have been initiated externally, policy makers should always critically question whether the intended interventions would really lead to the desired results. Special caution is required with regard to the application of external sanctions; they bear not only the widely reported risk of crowding out, but they also potentially create additional coordination problems. Our results suggest that external sanctions may not be the most effective solution to social dilemmas in close-knit communities. This does not mean that external sanctions may not be an appropriate instrument in specific social-ecological systems. Following Ostromβs (2007) line of thinking, we acknowledge that the complex interplay of social and ecological features of a system determine which set of governance instruments has the comparative advantage. In the particular setting we studied, external sanctions led to social losses due to inefficient use of resources.
The study of interactions between formal and informal institutions while taking into account the historical background of the communities requires further attention. We add to this discussion by incorporating a unique, local institution (panchayat), and comparing and contrasting its performance with two of the most widely studied institutions (communication and external sanctions). Hopefully, our experiments will inspire researchers to incorporate alternative local institutions in the design of future experimental studies.
RESPONSES TO THIS ARTICLE
Responses to this article are invited. If accepted for publication, your response will be hyperlinked to the article. To submit a response, follow this link. To read responses already accepted, follow this link.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We greatly appreciate the support provided by Dr. Basharat and Mr. Khalid. Their support was very critical for the organization of our successful field work. We are also grateful to the team of students, in particular, Muhammad Asim, Amin-ul-haq, Nazar Abbas, Muhammad Iftikhar, Muhammad Essa, Muhammad Saqib, and Muhammad Bilal, for their excellent assistance in conducting the experiments. Most importantly, we thank all the people who enthusiastically and patiently participated in the experiments.
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Table 1
Table 1. Socioeconomic attributes of the sample population.
Variable | Mean Β± SE or percentage |
Average age | 41 Β± 14.4 yr |
Average household size | 7.7 Β± 3.7 people |
Average size of landholdings | 13.0 Β± 15.0 acres |
Share of male | 100% |
Received secondary education | 63% |
Hold freehold land title | 85% |
Own private tube well | 44% |
Table 2
Table 2. Mixed-effects regression results of individual amounts invested and earned. Numbers are coefficients, with robust standard errors in parentheses.
Variable level | Variable | Investment (rounds 2β18) |
Earnings (rounds 2β18) |
Individual level | Education level | β0.0857 (0.0530) | 0.160* (0.0761) |
Age | 0.00684 (0.0115) | β0.0127 (0.0139) | |
Size of land holdings | 0.00690 (0.00924) | β0.00185 (0.00824) | |
Own private tube well | 0.0325 (0.176) | β0.147 (0.243) | |
Member of dominant Baradari | 0.0219 (0.347) | 1.248** (0.471) | |
Feel accepted in community | β0.0565 (0.200) | 0.0167 (0.283) | |
Trust index | β0.0203 (0.267) | 0.0332 (0.348) | |
Group variables | Number of castes in group | 0.0254 (0.116) | 0.0228 (0.294) |
Network density of social relations | 0.0879 (0.123) | β0.0314 (0.0683) | |
Game variables | Round | 0.0127 (0.0174) | 0.157* (0.0663) |
1st player position | β | β | |
2nd player position | 0.0170 (0.335) | β0.514 (0.514) | |
3rd player position | 0.259 (0.355) | β1.241** (0.430) | |
4th player position | β0.320 (0.399) | β1.259β (0.764) | |
5th player position | β0.0282 (0.340) | β3.250** (0.997) | |
Extraction (t β 1) | β0.0233** (0.00658) | 0.119** (0.0188) | |
Gini-coefficient for earnings (t β 1) | β1.569 (0.975) | β4.671 (3.015) | |
Share in investment | β | β13.49** (2.979) | |
Mean extraction of all other participants (t β 1) | β | β0.0915** (0.0326) | |
Group investment (t β 1) | 0.0760** (0.0161) | β | |
Cβ Γ treatment phase | β0.0565 (0.334) | β0.686 (1.037) | |
TA Γ treatment phase | β0.0223 (0.305) | β0.389 (0.871) | |
P Γ treatment phase | β0.211 (0.435) | β2.154* (1.040) | |
IC Γ treatment phase | β0.154 (0.219) | β1.250 (0.901) | |
Received C treatment (t β 1) | 0.694* (0.284) | 0.0171 (0.616) | |
Received TA treatment (t β 1) | β0.0290 (0.373) | 1.066 (0.789) | |
Received P treatment (t β 1) | β0.112 (0.375) | 0.475 (0.634) | |
Initiated TA treatment (t β 1) | 0.406 (0.312) | 0.786 (1.096) | |
Initiated C treatment (t β 1) | 0.173 (0.345) | 0.553 (1.139) | |
Initiated P treatment (t β 1) | β0.628 (0.638) | 2.269** (0.879) | |
Constant | 5.308** (1.136) | 17.98** (1.178) | |
Random-effects parameters | Village | β16.55 (103.3) | β16.21 (85.38) |
Group | β0.514* (0.257) | 0.577 (0.470) | |
Residual | 0.838** (0.0583) | 1.827** (0.0743) | |
Number of players | 160 | 160 | |
Number of observations | 2410 | 2410 | |
β P < 0.1, *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01. β Treatments consisted of institutions for sanctioning the water use of other participants: C = communication, TA = traditional authority, P = punishment, or IC = institutional choice. |
Table 3
Table 3. Mixed-effects regression results explaining the total tokens earned from water extraction depending on player position. Numbers are coefficients, with robust standard errors in parentheses.
Variable level | Variable | Player 1 | Player 2 | Player 3 | Player 4 | Player 5 |
Individual level | Education level | β0.155 (0.227) |
0.224 (0.308) |
β0.0545 (0.210) |
0.621** (0.172) |
0.00741 (0.308) |
Age | β0.0470 (0.0315) |
0.0173 (0.0378) |
β0.0458* (0.0231) |
0.0577** (0.0182) |
β0.00381 (0.0291) |
|
Size of land holdings | 0.0836* (0.0409) |
β0.0602 (0.0402) |
0.0197 (0.0408) |
0.0129 (0.0148) |
0.0431 (0.0269) |
|
Own private tube well | β0.236 (0.574) |
0.0804 (0.383) |
β0.539 (0.381) |
0.235 (0.466) |
β0.222 (0.549) |
|
Member of dominant Baradari | 1.507 (1.141) |
4.062** (1.120) |
β0.400 (1.186) |
0.319 (0.549) |
2.579** (0.658) |
|
Feel accepted in community | 0.651 (0.479) |
0.0567 (0.937) |
β0.550 (0.568) |
β0.275 (0.295) |
β0.547 (0.415) |
|
Trust index | 1.503** (0.496) |
β0.303 (0.780) |
β0.293 (0.540) |
β0.962** (0.343) |
1.755β (0.912) |
|
Group variables | Number of castes in group | β0.380 (0.512) |
β0.0349 (0.490) |
β0.562β (0.323) |
0.444β (0.258) |
0.0230 (0.529) |
Network density of social relations | β0.0123 (0.247) |
β0.453 (0.587) |
β0.917** (0.206) |
0.176 (0.525) |
β0.166 (0.389) |
|
Game variables | Group investment | 0.551** (0.0851) |
0.574** (0.0546) |
0.737** (0.0397) |
0.803** (0.0338) |
0.706** (0.0408) |
Round number | 0.131 (0.0911) |
β0.0311 (0.0678) |
0.224* (0.0936) |
0.166β (0.0887) |
0.152** (0.0577) |
|
Gini-coefficient for earnings (t β 1) | β1.997 (2.980) |
β3.520 (4.461) |
3.659* (2.029) |
4.579* (2.170) |
β1.642 (2.359) |
|
Mean extraction of all other participants (t β 1) | β0.0747* (0.0311) |
0.00903 (0.0441) |
β0.0966 (0.0611) |
β0.0476 (0.0301) |
β0.0496 (0.0477) |
|
Extraction (t β 1) | 0.0529* (0.0214) |
β0.0343 (0.0504) |
0.0751* (0.0377) |
0.0305 (0.0255) |
0.0613β (0.0338) |
|
Cβ Γ treatment phase | β1.494* (0.583) |
0.248 (1.032) |
β1.946** (0.753) |
β0.567 (1.493) |
β0.477 (1.464) |
|
TA Γ treatment phase | β1.456 (1.191) |
β0.228 (0.954) |
β1.135 (1.197) |
1.657β (0.969) |
0.959 (1.271) |
|
P Γ treatment phase | β3.709* (1.677) |
β0.582 (0.863) |
β1.763 (1.331) |
β0.266 (0.889) |
0.851 (1.445) |
|
IC Γ treatment phase | β0.263 (0.805) |
β0.993 (1.038) |
β0.726 (0.724) |
β1.255 (1.035) |
β1.181 (1.200) |
|
Constant | β7.063** (2.677) |
β7.677β (4.403) |
β8.730* (3.623) |
β22.23** (2.708) |
β20.66** (2.904) |
|
Random-effects parameters | Village | 0.0270 (0.371) |
0.659* (0.283) |
0.369 (0.375) |
β1.332 (6.445) |
0.297 (0.269) |
Group | β0.156 (0.596) |
0.666** (0.245) |
β16.17 (70.03) |
0.0271 (0.588) |
β0.554 (0.810) |
|
Residual | 1.643** (0.0978) |
1.489** (0.0946) |
1.575** (0.0807) |
1.539** (0.0438) |
1.631** (0.0487) |
|
Number of players | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | |
Total N | 482 | 482 | 482 | 482 | 482 | |
β P < 0.1, *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01. β Treatments consisted of institutions for sanctioning the water use of other participants: C = communication, TA = traditional authority, P = punishment, or IC = institutional choice. |
Table 4
Table 4. Mixed-effects regression results explaining the total tokens invested and earned by groups. Numbers are coefficients, with robust standard errors in parentheses.
Variable level | Variable | Group investment (rounds 2β18) |
Group earnings (rounds 2β18) |
Individual level | Variation in age | β0.458 (0.371) | β0.265 (0.398) |
Variation in size of land holding | β0.165 (0.311) | β0.195 (0.318) | |
Variation in education level | β1.276 (3.716) | β1.278 (4.045) | |
Number of castes in group | β0.865 (3.093) | β0.409 (2.616) | |
Network density of social relations | 3.086 (8.918) | 2.021 (8.670) | |
Village level | Number of households | β0.0028 (0.0034) | β0.003 (0.012) |
Head-user or tail-user | 0.394 (0.719) | 0.436 (1.986) | |
Distance to market | 0.152* (0.0629) | β0.108 (0.232) | |
Frequency of water disputes | β0.00150 (0.293) | 0.935 (1.634) | |
Game level | Round | 0.816* (0.369) | 0.634** (0.160) |
Gini-coefficient for investment (t β 1) | β20.83* (9.810) | 6.530 (11.44) | |
Gini-coefficient for earnings (t β 1) | β17.25 (21.03) | 3.424* (0.179) | |
Group investment | β | 0.885 (4.076) | |
Gini-coefficient for extraction (t β 1) | β | ||
Cβ Γ treatment phase | 0.0754 (1.796) | β2.251 (5.322) | |
TA Γ treatment phase | β0.0712 (1.594) | β1.244 (4.167) | |
P Γ treatment phase | β1.447 (2.299) | β9.033β (5.466) | |
IC Γ treatment phase | β1.049 (1.349) | β5.456 (4.526) | |
Constant | 35.40** (4.242) | 84.38** (12.18) | |
Random effects parameters | Village | β15.98 (66.2) | β15.50 (228.1) |
Group | 0.960* (0.378) | 2.073 (3.449) | |
Residual | 1.826** (0.0548) | 2.479** (0.0297) | |
Number of groups | 32 | 32 | |
Number of observations | 482 | 482 | |
β P < 0.1, *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01. β Treatments consisted of institutions for sanctioning the water use of other participants: C = communication, TA = traditional authority, P = punishment, or IC = institutional choice. |